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UFC 333 : VOLKANOVSKI VS EVLOEV

Petr Yan vs Merab Dvalishvili

DateOct 24, 2026
StatusScheduled
VenueEtihad Arena
BroadcastPARAMOUNT+
Start times & how to watch
Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, October 24, 2026 — watch on PARAMOUNT+.

US East (ET)
Sat 2:00 PM
US West (PT)
Sat 11:00 AM
United Kingdom
Sat 7:00 PM
Central Europe
Sat 8:00 PM
Australia (Sydney)
Sun 5:00 AM
Petr YanNo Mercy |20-5-0Petr Yan vs Merab DvalishviliMerab DvalishviliThe Machine |21-5-0
ruPetr YanNo Mercy20-5-0Petr Yanru

Fight Overview

Round5
Time5:00
20-5-0Record21-5-0
33Age35
5'7"Height5'6"
67"Reach 68"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Bantamweight TitleWeight ClassBantamweight Title
geMerab DvalishviliThe Machine21-5-0geMerab Dvalishvili
Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Merab Dvalishvili owns a 24-point Elo edge (great). Merab Dvalishvili shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. 3 shared opponents give extra context.

Compare Petr Yan and Merab Dvalishvili across their careers →

Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Petr YanMerab Dvalishvili
17501800185020242025

Recent form

Petr YanW W W W L · +49 Elo last 5
WWWWL
Merab DvalishviliL W W W W · +47 Elo last 5
LWWWW

Elo edge

Petr Yan1820+19 last move
Merab Dvalishvili1844-14 last move
Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.7-2026-08-28
41%Petr Yan59%Merab Dvalishvili
Model favoriteMerab Dvalishvili
Elo baseline53% for Merab Dvalishvili
Matchup adjustment+6 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

Sponsored — betting partner link. 19+ (18+ where permitted). Please play responsibly.

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Merab Dvalishvili leads the full model at 59%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model strengthens that lean by 6 points.

Current Elo ratings1820 · 1844Merab Dvalishvili leads by 24 rating points.
Recent opponent quality1778 · 1790Merab Dvalishvili faced the stronger recent schedule (10 vs 10 sampled fights).
Elo record depth25 · 27 fightsMerab Dvalishvili has the deeper counted Elo history.
Largest tracked stat edgesPetr Yan 0 · 4 Merab DvalishviliStrongest available gap: Takedown accuracy toward Merab Dvalishvili.

Stat advantages

Petr YanvsMerab Dvalishvili
Takedown accuracy
0%vs5%
Takedown average
1.70vs5.97
Sig. strikes absorbed per min
4.24vs2.80
Submission average
0.11vs0.35

Finishing profile

Petr Yandecision leads 60% of wins
Merab Dvalishvilidecision leads 76% of wins

Tale of the tape

Petr YanMerab Dvalishvili

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

5.16Sig. strikes landed per min4.42
UFC bantamweight average : 3.70
55Sig. strike accuracy42
UFC bantamweight average : 45%
4.24Sig. strikes absorbed per min2.80
UFC bantamweight average : 3.75
60Sig. strike defense54
UFC bantamweight average : 54%
1.70Takedown average5.97
UFC bantamweight average : 1.52
0Takedown accuracy5
UFC bantamweight average : 28%
86Takedown defense76
UFC bantamweight average : 61%
0.11Submission average0.35
UFC bantamweight average : 0.52
7Wins by knockout3
1Wins by submission2
12Wins by decision16
0Losses by knockout0
0Losses by submission1
4Losses by decision4

Petr Yan vs Merab Dvalishvili is a scheduled Bantamweight Title fight on UFC 333 : VOLKANOVSKI VS EVLOEV. Petr Yan enters with a 20-5-0 record and Merab Dvalishvili enters with a 21-5-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.

Petr Yan vs Merab Dvalishvili quick answers

When is Petr Yan vs Merab Dvalishvili?

Petr Yan vs Merab Dvalishvili is listed for UFC 333 : VOLKANOVSKI VS EVLOEV on Oct 24, 2026 at 2:00 PM EST.

What event is Petr Yan vs Merab Dvalishvili on?

Petr Yan vs Merab Dvalishvili is listed on UFC 333 : VOLKANOVSKI VS EVLOEV.

What are the records for Petr Yan vs Merab Dvalishvili?

Petr Yan enters with a 20-5-0 record and Merab Dvalishvili enters with a 21-5-0 record.

What division is Petr Yan vs Merab Dvalishvili?

Petr Yan vs Merab Dvalishvili is listed as a Bantamweight Title fight.

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