Michael McDonald vs Yuya Wakamatsu
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
19-4-0Record21-7-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'6"
70,0"Reach68"
136 lbsWeight135 lbs
Last Stand Fight TeamTeamTribe Tokyo MMA· 1647 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1704
If they lose-12→ 1680
If they win+12→ 1703
If they lose-12→ 1679
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1615 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1559 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Michael McDonaldYuya Wakamatsu
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Yuya Wakamatsu51%
Michael McDonald 49%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Yuya Wakamatsu a 51% favorite over Michael McDonald in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Michael McDonald's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1692 vs 1691), separated by just 1 points.
Michael McDonald enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Michael McDonald finishes 84% of wins inside the distance, Yuya Wakamatsu 71%.
Michael McDonald carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.