Michael Oliveira vs Paul Hughes
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-0-0Record14-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'9"
78"Reach70"
170 lbsWeight159 lbs
KO Squad MMATeamFight Academy Ireland· 1585 avg Elo · 7 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1736
If they lose-16→ 1704
If they win+16→ 1737
If they lose-16→ 1705
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1524 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1631 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Michael OliveiraPaul Hughes
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Michael Oliveira53%
Paul Hughes 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Michael Oliveira a 53% favorite over Paul Hughes in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Paul Hughes's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1720 vs 1721), separated by just 1 points.
Michael Oliveira enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Michael Oliveira finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Paul Hughes 71%.
Michael Oliveira carries a 8-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.