Michael Page vs Shara Magomedov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
25-3-0Record17-1-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'2"
79"Reach73"
170 lbsWeight186 lbs
London ShootfightersTeamGOR MMA
What's at stake
Michael Page is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Shara Magomedov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1837
If they lose-14→ 1813
If they win+19→ 1784
If they lose-13→ 1752
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1698 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1608 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Michael PageShara Magomedov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Michael Page60%
Shara Magomedov 40%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Michael Page a 60% favorite over Shara Magomedov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Michael Page holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1827 to 1765, a 62-point edge.
Michael Page enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Shara Magomedov enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Michael Page finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Shara Magomedov 71%.
Michael Page carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.