Combat Edge Intelligence

Michel Pereira vs Shara Magomedov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

32-15-0Record17-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'2"
73"Reach73"
186 lbsWeight186 lbs
Overcome AcademyTeamGOR MMA· 1740 avg Elo · 4 rated

What's at stake

Shara Magomedov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Michel Pereira carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Michel PereiraNow 1695
If they win+15→ 1710
If they lose-9→ 1686
Shara MagomedovNow 1775
If they win+12→ 1787
If they lose-20→ 1755

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1703 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1633 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.46
Sig. strikes / min
5.55
52%
Strike accuracy
63%
4.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.62
51%
Strike defense
45%
1.21
Takedown avg.
0
57%
Takedown accuracy
0%
76%
Takedown defense
73%
0.65
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Michel PereiraShara Magomedov
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (34%)
KO/TKO
12 (71%)
9 (28%)
Submission
0 (0%)
12 (38%)
Decision
5 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Shara Magomedov59%
Michel Pereira 41%Elo baseline: 61%

The Combat Edge model makes Shara Magomedov a 59% favorite over Michel Pereira in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).

Shara Magomedov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1775 to 1695, a 80-point edge.

Shara Magomedov enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Michel Pereira finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Shara Magomedov 71%.

Michel Pereira and Shara Magomedov share 1 common opponent: Michał Oleksiejczuk.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinSubmission · 2024
Michał Oleksiejczuk
WinDecision - Unanimous · 2024