Combat Edge Intelligence

Mick Parkin vs Mohammed Usman

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-1-0Record11-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'2"
79"Reach79"
263 lbsWeight237 lbs

What's at stake

Mick Parkin is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Mohammed Usman carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Mick ParkinNow 1707
If they win+12→ 1719
If they lose-20→ 1687
Mohammed UsmanNow 1615
If they win+20→ 1635
If they lose-12→ 1603

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1564 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1579 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.91
Sig. strikes / min
3.85
53%
Strike accuracy
39%
4.15
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.27
58%
Strike defense
51%
1.49
Takedown avg.
0.56
42%
Takedown accuracy
14%
50%
Takedown defense
67%
0.30
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Mick ParkinMohammed Usman
160016501700202320242025

Win method breakdown

6 (60%)
KO/TKO
4 (36%)
1 (10%)
Submission
2 (18%)
3 (30%)
Decision
5 (45%)

Combat Edge model read

Mick Parkin78%
Mohammed Usman 22%Elo baseline: 63%

The Combat Edge model makes Mick Parkin a 78% favorite over Mohammed Usman in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).

Mick Parkin holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1707 to 1615, a 92-point edge.

Mick Parkin finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Mohammed Usman 55%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.