Mingyang Zhang vs Ozzy Diaz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-8-0Record10-4-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'4"
75"Reach79"
205 lbsWeight185 lbs
Qingdao Xinjiang International Fight ClubTeamCalifornia Mixed Martial Arts
What's at stake
Mingyang Zhang is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Ozzy Diaz carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1667
If they lose-13→ 1643
If they win+17→ 1644
If they lose-15→ 1612
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1571 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1572 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Mingyang ZhangOzzy Diaz
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Mingyang Zhang and Ozzy Diaz within a point of even.
Mingyang Zhang holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1656 to 1627, a 29-point edge.
Mingyang Zhang enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Mingyang Zhang finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Ozzy Diaz 90%.
Ozzy Diaz carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.