Mingyang Zhang vs Ozzy Diaz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-8-0Record10-5-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'4"
75"Reach79"
205 lbsWeight185 lbs
Qingdao Xinjiang International Fight ClubTeamCalifornia Mixed Martial Arts· 1674 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
Mingyang Zhang is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Ozzy Diaz carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1666
If they lose-14→ 1642
If they win+18→ 1630
If they lose-14→ 1598
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1571 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1596 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Mingyang ZhangOzzy Diaz
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mingyang Zhang63%
Ozzy Diaz 37%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Mingyang Zhang a 63% favorite over Ozzy Diaz in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Mingyang Zhang holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1656 to 1612, a 44-point edge.
Mingyang Zhang enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ozzy Diaz enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Mingyang Zhang finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Ozzy Diaz 90%.
Ozzy Diaz carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.