Miroslav Brož vs Rafael Aronov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-5-1Record9-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'1"
73.6"Reach-
170 lbsWeight171 lbs
Renegade Prague GymTeamSpirit
What's at stake
Miroslav Brož is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Rafael Aronov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1618
If they lose-17→ 1586
If they win+17→ 1595
If they lose-15→ 1563
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1493 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1516 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Miroslav BrožRafael Aronov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rafael Aronov71%
Miroslav Brož 29%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes Rafael Aronov a 71% favorite over Miroslav Brož in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Miroslav Brož's way (46%).
Miroslav Brož holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1603 to 1578, a 25-point edge.
Miroslav Brož enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Rafael Aronov enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Miroslav Brož finishes 38% of wins inside the distance, Rafael Aronov 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.