Combat Edge Intelligence

Miroslav Brož vs Rafael Aronov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Official bout pages

New comparison

This page compares both fighters across their careers. Event-specific previews, results, round stats, and bout facts live on the separate official Fight page for each meeting.

Tale of the tape

16-5-1Record9-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'1"
73.6"Reach-
170 lbsWeight171 lbs
Renegade Prague GymTeamSpirit

What's at stake

Miroslav Brož is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Rafael Aronov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Miroslav BrožNow 1607
If they win+15→ 1622
If they lose-17→ 1590
Rafael AronovNow 1579
If they win+17→ 1596
If they lose-15→ 1564

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1498 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Trajectory

Miroslav BrožRafael Aronov
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (25%)
KO/TKO
5 (56%)
2 (13%)
Submission
4 (44%)
10 (63%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Rafael Aronov56%
Miroslav Brož 44%Elo baseline: 46%

The Combat Edge model makes Rafael Aronov a 56% favorite over Miroslav Brož in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Miroslav Brož's way (46%).

Miroslav Brož holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1607 to 1579, a 28-point edge.

Miroslav Brož enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Rafael Aronov enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Miroslav Brož finishes 38% of wins inside the distance, Rafael Aronov 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.