Misha Cirkunov vs Nikita Krylov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-9-0Record31-12-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'3"
77"Reach77"
205 lbsWeight215 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamRaty Team
What's at stake
Nikita Krylov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Misha Cirkunov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1687
If they lose-15→ 1655
If they win+11→ 1702
If they lose-13→ 1678
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1682 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1709 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Misha CirkunovNikita Krylov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nikita Krylov84%
Misha Cirkunov 16%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Nikita Krylov a 84% favorite over Misha Cirkunov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Nikita Krylov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1691 to 1670, a 21-point edge.
Misha Cirkunov enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Misha Cirkunov finishes 87% of wins inside the distance, Nikita Krylov 94%.
Misha Cirkunov and Nikita Krylov share 3 common opponents: Ryan Spann, Johnny Walker and Volkan Oezdemir.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.