Mitch Ramirez vs Thiago Moisés
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-4-0Record19-10-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'9"
71"Reach70"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Syndicate MMATeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Thiago Moisés is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Mitch Ramirez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1613
If they lose-12→ 1581
If they win+9→ 1694
If they lose-15→ 1670
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1576 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1680 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Mitch RamirezThiago Moisés
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Thiago Moisés63%
Mitch Ramirez 37%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Thiago Moisés a 63% favorite over Mitch Ramirez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Thiago Moisés holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1685 to 1593, a 92-point edge.
Mitch Ramirez enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Thiago Moisés enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Mitch Ramirez finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Thiago Moisés 63%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.