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Combat Edge Intelligence

Montana De La Rosa vs Poliana Botelho

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

13-10-1Record9-5-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'5"
68"Reach67"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamNova Uniao

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Montana De La RosaNow 1570
If they win+16→ 1586
If they lose-16→ 1554
Poliana BotelhoNow 1574
If they win+16→ 1590
If they lose-16→ 1558

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1627 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1584 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.90
Sig. strikes / min
2.90
37%
Strike accuracy
59%
3.39
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.80
45%
Strike defense
54%
1.85
Takedown avg.
0.85
0%
Takedown accuracy
57%
68%
Takedown defense
77%
0.82
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Montana De La RosaPoliana Botelho
15501600202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (8%)
KO/TKO
6 (67%)
8 (62%)
Submission
0 (0%)
4 (31%)
Decision
3 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Montana De La Rosa66%
Poliana Botelho 34%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Montana De La Rosa a 66% favorite over Poliana Botelho in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Poliana Botelho's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1570 vs 1574), separated by just 4 points.

Montana De La Rosa finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Poliana Botelho 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.