Combat Edge Intelligence

Montana De La Rosa vs Viviane Araujo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-10-1Record14-8-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'5"
68"Reach68"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamCerrado MMA· 1632 avg Elo · 7 rated

What's at stake

Viviane Araujo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Montana De La Rosa carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Montana De La RosaNow 1571
If they win+18→ 1589
If they lose-14→ 1557
Viviane AraujoNow 1625
If they win+14→ 1639
If they lose-18→ 1607

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1630 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1663 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.90
Sig. strikes / min
3.84
37%
Strike accuracy
47%
3.39
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.83
45%
Strike defense
56%
1.85
Takedown avg.
1.72
0%
Takedown accuracy
43%
68%
Takedown defense
75%
0.82
Submission avg.
0.60

Trajectory

Montana De La RosaViviane Araujo
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (8%)
KO/TKO
3 (21%)
8 (62%)
Submission
4 (29%)
4 (31%)
Decision
7 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Montana De La Rosa and Viviane Araujo within a point of even.

Viviane Araujo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1625 to 1571, a 54-point edge.

Montana De La Rosa finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Viviane Araujo 50%.

Montana De La Rosa and Viviane Araujo share 1 common opponent: Andrea Lee.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinDecision - Split · 2024
Andrea Lee
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2022