Combat Edge Intelligence

Morgan Charrière vs Nathaniel Wood

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

21-12-1Record23-6-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'6"
69"Reach69"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team Chapa QuenteTeamGreat Britain Top Team

What's at stake

Nathaniel Wood is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Morgan Charrière carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Morgan CharrièreNow 1644
If they win+15→ 1659
If they lose-9→ 1635
Nathaniel WoodNow 1733
If they win+9→ 1742
If they lose-15→ 1718

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1599 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1676 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.08
Sig. strikes / min
5.74
50%
Strike accuracy
52%
4.54
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.32
54%
Strike defense
54%
2.11
Takedown avg.
1.46
47%
Takedown accuracy
50%
83%
Takedown defense
73%
0.30
Submission avg.
0.52

Trajectory

Morgan CharrièreNathaniel Wood
1600165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

13 (62%)
KO/TKO
8 (35%)
3 (14%)
Submission
5 (22%)
5 (24%)
Decision
10 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Nathaniel Wood74%
Morgan Charrière 26%Elo baseline: 63%

The Combat Edge model makes Nathaniel Wood a 74% favorite over Morgan Charrière in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).

Nathaniel Wood holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1733 to 1644, a 89-point edge.

Nathaniel Wood enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Morgan Charrière finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Nathaniel Wood 57%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.