Movsar Evloev vs Nik Lentz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-1-0Record30-12-2
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'8"
72"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
American Top TeamTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
Movsar Evloev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Nik Lentz carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1851
If they lose-23→ 1819
If they win+18→ 1684
If they lose-6→ 1660
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1751 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1698 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Movsar EvloevNik Lentz
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Movsar Evloev94%
Nik Lentz 6%Elo baseline: 73%
The Combat Edge model makes Movsar Evloev a 94% favorite over Nik Lentz in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (73%).
Movsar Evloev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1842 to 1666, a 176-point edge.
Nik Lentz enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Movsar Evloev finishes 35% of wins inside the distance, Nik Lentz 63%.
Movsar Evloev and Nik Lentz share 1 common opponent: Arnold Allen.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.