Murtazali Magomedov vs Saifullah Dzhabrailov
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Murtazali Magomedov73%
Saifullah Dzhabrailov 27%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Murtazali Magomedov a 73% favorite over Saifullah Dzhabrailov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1730 vs 1728), separated by just 2 points.
Murtazali Magomedov enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Murtazali Magomedov finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Saifullah Dzhabrailov 74%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
12-0-0Record19-3-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'8"
70"Reach-
145 lbsWeight147 lbs
TeamFight Club Berkut· 1633 avg Elo · 12 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1746
If they lose-16→ 1714
If they win+16→ 1744
If they lose-16→ 1712
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1550 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1561 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Murtazali MagomedovSaifullah Dzhabrailov