Myktybek Orolbai vs Uros Medic
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-2-1Record13-3-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'1"
74"Reach71"
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Uluu KyrgyzTeamKings MMA
What's at stake
Myktybek Orolbai is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Uros Medic carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1745
If they lose-17→ 1713
If they win+17→ 1725
If they lose-15→ 1693
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1622 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1661 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Myktybek OrolbaiUros Medic
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Myktybek Orolbai60%
Uros Medic 40%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Myktybek Orolbai a 60% favorite over Uros Medic in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Myktybek Orolbai holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1730 to 1708, a 22-point edge.
Myktybek Orolbai enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Uros Medic enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Myktybek Orolbai finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Uros Medic 100%.
Myktybek Orolbai carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.