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Combat Edge Intelligence

Nasrat Haqparast vs Rafa García

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

18-7-0Record19-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'7"
72"Reach70"
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
Tristar GymTeamTeam Elevation

What's at stake

Rafa García is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Nasrat Haqparast carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Nasrat HaqparastNow 1712
If they win+13→ 1725
If they lose-11→ 1701
Rafa GarcíaNow 1740
If they win+15→ 1755
If they lose-17→ 1723

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1695 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1694 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

6.36
Sig. strikes / min
4.28
46%
Strike accuracy
44%
6
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.42
63%
Strike defense
61%
0.34
Takedown avg.
3.22
5%
Takedown accuracy
17%
86%
Takedown defense
77%
0
Submission avg.
0.40

Trajectory

Nasrat HaqparastRafa García
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (56%)
KO/TKO
2 (11%)
0 (0%)
Submission
8 (44%)
8 (44%)
Decision
8 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Nasrat Haqparast and Rafa García within a point of even.

Rafa García holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1740 to 1712, a 28-point edge.

Nasrat Haqparast enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Nasrat Haqparast finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Rafa García 56%.

Nasrat Haqparast and Rafa García share 1 common opponent: Jared Gordon.

Nasrat Haqparast carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinDecision - Split · 2024
Jared Gordon
WinTKO · 2025