Nasrat Haqparast vs Rafa García
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-6-0Record19-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'7"
72"Reach70"
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
Tristar GymTeamTeam Elevation
What's at stake
Rafa García is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Nasrat Haqparast carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1741
If they lose-11→ 1717
If they win+15→ 1771
If they lose-17→ 1739
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1697 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1679 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Nasrat HaqparastRafa García
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rafa García61%
Nasrat Haqparast 39%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Rafa García a 61% favorite over Nasrat Haqparast in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Rafa García holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1756 to 1728, a 28-point edge.
Rafa García enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Nasrat Haqparast finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Rafa García 56%.
Nasrat Haqparast and Rafa García share 1 common opponent: Jared Gordon.
Nasrat Haqparast carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.