Natália Silva vs Rose Namajunas
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-5-1Record14-8-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'5"
65"Reach65"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
What's at stake
Natália Silva is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Rose Namajunas carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1760
If they lose-18→ 1728
If they win+18→ 1713
If they lose-14→ 1681
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1627 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1718 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Natália SilvaRose Namajunas
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Natália Silva71%
Rose Namajunas 29%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Natália Silva a 71% favorite over Rose Namajunas in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Natália Silva holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1746 to 1695, a 51-point edge.
Natália Silva enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Natália Silva finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Rose Namajunas 50%.
Natália Silva and Rose Namajunas share 1 common opponent: Jéssica Andrade.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.