Combat Edge Intelligence

Nicolas Mandiola vs Thimna Mhlauli

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

5-1-0Record5-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'8"
TBDReach-
134 lbsWeight135 lbs
Kiltros CrewTeamQuanWessels BJJ & MMA Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Nicolas MandiolaNow 1589
If they win+24→ 1613
If they lose-24→ 1565
Thimna MhlauliNow 1588
If they win+24→ 1612
If they lose-24→ 1564

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1492 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Nicolas MandiolaThimna Mhlauli
15501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (40%)
KO/TKO
2 (40%)
3 (60%)
Submission
1 (20%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Nicolas Mandiola and Thimna Mhlauli within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1589 vs 1588), separated by just 1 points.

Nicolas Mandiola enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Nicolas Mandiola finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Thimna Mhlauli 60%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.