Nikita Krylov vs Robert Whittaker
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
31-12-0Record27-9-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'0"
77"Reach73"
215 lbsWeight186 lbs
Raty Team· 1668 avg Elo · 13 ratedTeamPMA Super Martial Arts
What's at stake
Robert Whittaker is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Nikita Krylov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1705
If they lose-10→ 1681
If they win+10→ 1763
If they lose-14→ 1739
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1709 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1754 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Nikita KrylovRobert Whittaker
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Robert Whittaker60%
Nikita Krylov 40%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Robert Whittaker a 60% favorite over Nikita Krylov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Robert Whittaker holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1753 to 1691, a 62-point edge.
Nikita Krylov finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Robert Whittaker 59%.
Nikita Krylov carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.