Oleg Popov vs Pouya Rahmani
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-2-0Record5-0-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'2"
75.5"Reach79"
250 lbsWeight250 lbs
FedorTeam· 1771 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeam
What's at stake
Oleg Popov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Pouya Rahmani carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+8→ 1810
If they lose-16→ 1786
If they win+33→ 1701
If they lose-15→ 1653
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1642 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1558 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Oleg PopovPouya Rahmani
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Oleg Popov78%
Pouya Rahmani 22%Elo baseline: 68%
The Combat Edge model makes Oleg Popov a 78% favorite over Pouya Rahmani in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).
Oleg Popov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1802 to 1668, a 134-point edge.
Oleg Popov enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Pouya Rahmani enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Oleg Popov finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Pouya Rahmani 100%.
Oleg Popov and Pouya Rahmani share 1 common opponent: Karl Williams.
Pouya Rahmani carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.