Olivier Poisson vs Sebastian Polanco
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-1-0Record3-3-1
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'9"
-Reach-
136 lbsWeight145 lbs
H2O MMATeamDemon Team
What's at stake
Olivier Poisson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +17 while a loss costs more — Sebastian Polanco carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1626
If they lose-31→ 1578
If they win+31→ 1532
If they lose-17→ 1484
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1499 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1520 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Olivier PoissonSebastian Polanco
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Olivier Poisson92%
Sebastian Polanco 8%Elo baseline: 65%
The Combat Edge model makes Olivier Poisson a 92% favorite over Sebastian Polanco in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).
Olivier Poisson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1609 to 1501, a 108-point edge.
Olivier Poisson enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Sebastian Polanco enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Olivier Poisson finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Sebastian Polanco 33%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.