Combat Edge Intelligence

Olivier Poisson vs Sebastian Polanco

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Official bout pages

New comparison

This page compares both fighters across their careers. Event-specific previews, results, round stats, and bout facts live on the separate official Fight page for each meeting.

Tale of the tape

6-1-0Record3-3-1
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'9"
-Reach-
136 lbsWeight145 lbs
H2O MMA· 1649 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamDemon Team

What's at stake

Olivier Poisson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +17 while a loss costs more — Sebastian Polanco carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Olivier PoissonNow 1609
If they win+17→ 1626
If they lose-31→ 1578
Sebastian PolancoNow 1502
If they win+31→ 1533
If they lose-17→ 1485

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1499 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Trajectory

Olivier PoissonSebastian Polanco
150015501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
1 (33%)
4 (67%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (33%)
Decision
2 (67%)

Combat Edge model read

Olivier Poisson57%
Sebastian Polanco 43%Elo baseline: 65%

The Combat Edge model makes Olivier Poisson a 57% favorite over Sebastian Polanco in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).

Olivier Poisson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1609 to 1502, a 107-point edge.

Olivier Poisson enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Sebastian Polanco enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Olivier Poisson finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Sebastian Polanco 33%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.