Oskar Piechota vs Punahele Soriano
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-3-1Record13-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
42,0"Reach 72"
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Piranha Grappling TeamTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
Punahele Soriano is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Oskar Piechota carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1669
If they lose-13→ 1637
If they win+13→ 1724
If they lose-19→ 1692
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1565 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1667 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Oskar PiechotaPunahele Soriano
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Punahele Soriano79%
Oskar Piechota 21%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Punahele Soriano a 79% favorite over Oskar Piechota in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Punahele Soriano holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1711 to 1650, a 61-point edge.
Oskar Piechota enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Punahele Soriano enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Oskar Piechota finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Punahele Soriano 69%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.