Ozzy Diaz vs Ryan Gandra
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-5-0Record11-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'4"Height6'1"
79"Reach74"
185 lbsWeight184 lbs
California Mixed Martial Arts· 1673 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamFlavio Baiano Team
What's at stake
Ryan Gandra is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Ozzy Diaz carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1632
If they lose-12→ 1600
If they win+12→ 1724
If they lose-20→ 1692
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1597 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1539 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ozzy DiazRyan Gandra
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ryan Gandra75%
Ozzy Diaz 25%Elo baseline: 64%
The Combat Edge model makes Ryan Gandra a 75% favorite over Ozzy Diaz in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).
Ryan Gandra holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1712 to 1612, a 100-point edge.
Ozzy Diaz enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ryan Gandra enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Ozzy Diaz finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Gandra 82%.
Ozzy Diaz carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.