Combat Edge Intelligence

Preston Parsons vs Trevin Giles

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Trevin Giles
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Trevin Giles

“The Problem”

16-7-0WelterweightUFC

1662Good

Tale of the tape

11-6-0Record16-7-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'0"
71"Reach74"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Elevate MMATeamW4R Training Center

What's at stake

Trevin Giles is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Preston Parsons carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Preston ParsonsNow 1610
If they win+18→ 1628
If they lose-14→ 1596
Trevin GilesNow 1662
If they win+14→ 1676
If they lose-18→ 1644

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1595 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1674 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.50
Sig. strikes / min
3.17
52%
Strike accuracy
54%
3.12
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.39
55%
Strike defense
58%
3.53
Takedown avg.
1.07
37%
Takedown accuracy
50%
71%
Takedown defense
72%
2.35
Submission avg.
0.29

Trajectory

Preston ParsonsTrevin Giles
160016501700202320242025

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
6 (38%)
9 (82%)
Submission
5 (31%)
2 (18%)
Decision
5 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Preston Parsons52%
Trevin Giles 48%Elo baseline: 43%

The Combat Edge model makes Preston Parsons a 52% favorite over Trevin Giles in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Trevin Giles's way (43%).

Trevin Giles holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1662 to 1610, a 52-point edge.

Preston Parsons enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Trevin Giles enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Preston Parsons finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Trevin Giles 69%.

Trevin Giles carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.