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Combat Edge Intelligence

Punahele Soriano vs Santiago Ponzinibbio

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

13-5-0Record30-10-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
72"Reach73″
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Punahele SorianoNow 1695
If they win+16→ 1711
If they lose-16→ 1679
Santiago PonzinibbioNow 1698
If they win+12→ 1710
If they lose-12→ 1686

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1670 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1719 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.42
Sig. strikes / min
4.78
54%
Strike accuracy
42%
3.31
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.68
47%
Strike defense
62%
1.97
Takedown avg.
0.60
0%
Takedown accuracy
12%
49%
Takedown defense
71%
0.12
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Punahele SorianoSantiago Ponzinibbio
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (54%)
KO/TKO
17 (57%)
2 (15%)
Submission
6 (20%)
4 (31%)
Decision
7 (23%)

Combat Edge model read

Santiago Ponzinibbio61%
Punahele Soriano 39%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Santiago Ponzinibbio a 61% favorite over Punahele Soriano in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1695 vs 1698), separated by just 3 points.

Santiago Ponzinibbio enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Punahele Soriano finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Santiago Ponzinibbio 77%.

Punahele Soriano and Santiago Ponzinibbio share 1 common opponent: Miguel Baeza.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinDecision - Unanimous · 2024
Miguel Baeza
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2021