Combat Edge Intelligence

Punahele Soriano vs Santiago Ponzinibbio

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

13-4-0Record30-9-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
72"Reach73″
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Punahele SorianoNow 1711
If they win+16→ 1727
If they lose-16→ 1695
Santiago PonzinibbioNow 1712
If they win+12→ 1724
If they lose-12→ 1700

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1667 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1721 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.66
Sig. strikes / min
4.78
55%
Strike accuracy
42%
3.42
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.68
48%
Strike defense
62%
1.83
Takedown avg.
0.60
48%
Takedown accuracy
27%
40%
Takedown defense
71%
0.14
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Punahele SorianoSantiago Ponzinibbio
1650170017502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (54%)
KO/TKO
17 (57%)
2 (15%)
Submission
6 (20%)
4 (31%)
Decision
7 (23%)

Combat Edge model read

Punahele Soriano70%
Santiago Ponzinibbio 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Punahele Soriano a 70% favorite over Santiago Ponzinibbio in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Santiago Ponzinibbio's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1711 vs 1712), separated by just 1 points.

Punahele Soriano enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Punahele Soriano finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Santiago Ponzinibbio 77%.

Punahele Soriano and Santiago Ponzinibbio share 1 common opponent: Miguel Baeza.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinDecision - Unanimous · 2024
Miguel Baeza
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2021