Rafa García vs Rongzhu
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-5-0Record29-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'11"
70"Reach72"
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Team ElevationTeamEnbo Fight Club· 1687 avg Elo · 8 rated
What's at stake
Rongzhu is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Rafa García carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1757
If they lose-15→ 1725
If they win+11→ 1766
If they lose-13→ 1742
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1694 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1626 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Rafa GarcíaRongzhu
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rafa García54%
Rongzhu 46%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Rafa García a 54% favorite over Rongzhu in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Rongzhu's way (48%).
Rongzhu holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1755 to 1740, a 15-point edge.
Rongzhu enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Rafa García finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Rongzhu 79%.
Rongzhu carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.