Rafa García vs Rongzhu
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-4-0Record28-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'11"
70"Reach72"
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Team ElevationTeamEnbo Fight Club· 1685 avg Elo · 9 rated
What's at stake
Rafa García is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Rongzhu carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1771
If they lose-17→ 1739
If they win+13→ 1753
If they lose-11→ 1729
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1679 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1608 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Rafa GarcíaRongzhu
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Rafa García and Rongzhu within a point of even.
Rafa García holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1756 to 1740, a 16-point edge.
Rafa García enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Rongzhu enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Rafa García finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Rongzhu 81%.
Rongzhu carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.