Rafa García vs Vinc Pichel
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
19-4-0Record14-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'10"
70"Reach72"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team ElevationTeamFactory X
What's at stake
Rafa García is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Vinc Pichel carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1767
If they lose-21→ 1735
If they win+21→ 1671
If they lose-11→ 1639
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1679 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1685 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Rafa GarcíaVinc Pichel
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rafa García88%
Vinc Pichel 12%Elo baseline: 65%
The Combat Edge model makes Rafa García a 88% favorite over Vinc Pichel in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).
Rafa García holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1756 to 1650, a 106-point edge.
Rafa García enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Vinc Pichel enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Rafa García finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Vinc Pichel 57%.
Vinc Pichel carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.