Rafael dos Anjos vs Rafael Fiziev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
32-17-0Record14-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'8"
70"Reach71"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
RDA AcademyTeamTiger Muay Thai
What's at stake
Rafael Fiziev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Rafael dos Anjos carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1726
If they lose-11→ 1702
If they win+15→ 1745
If they lose-17→ 1713
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1737 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1744 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Rafael dos AnjosRafael Fiziev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rafael Fiziev81%
Rafael dos Anjos 19%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Rafael Fiziev a 81% favorite over Rafael dos Anjos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Rafael Fiziev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1730 to 1713, a 17-point edge.
Rafael dos Anjos enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Rafael dos Anjos finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Rafael Fiziev 71%.
Rafael dos Anjos and Rafael Fiziev share 2 common opponents: Mateusz Gamrot and Renato Moicano.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.