Rafael Fiziev vs Renato Moicano
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-5-0Record21-7-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'11"
71"Reach72″
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Tiger Muay ThaiTeamFirst Fight Center
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+17→ 1747
If they lose-15→ 1715
If they win+12→ 1755
If they lose-12→ 1731
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1744 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1736 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Rafael FizievRenato Moicano
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rafael Fiziev56%
Renato Moicano 44%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Rafael Fiziev a 56% favorite over Renato Moicano in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Renato Moicano's way (48%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1730 vs 1743), separated by just 13 points.
Rafael Fiziev finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Renato Moicano 62%.
Rafael Fiziev and Renato Moicano share 2 common opponents: Rafael dos Anjos and Brad Riddell.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.