Combat Edge Intelligence

Renato Moicano vs Rongzhu

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Rongzhu
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Rongzhu

28-6-0LightweightUFC

1740Good

Tale of the tape

21-7-1Record28-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'11"
72″Reach72"
156 lbsWeight156 lbs
First Fight CenterTeamEnbo Fight Club· 1685 avg Elo · 9 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Renato MoicanoNow 1743
If they win+12→ 1755
If they lose-12→ 1731
RongzhuNow 1740
If they win+12→ 1752
If they lose-12→ 1728

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1737 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1608 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.10
Sig. strikes / min
6.05
49%
Strike accuracy
52%
3.55
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.38
60%
Strike defense
53%
1.68
Takedown avg.
1.34
12%
Takedown accuracy
63%
64%
Takedown defense
84%
0.56
Submission avg.
0.13

Trajectory

Renato MoicanoRongzhu
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (10%)
KO/TKO
16 (59%)
11 (52%)
Submission
6 (22%)
8 (38%)
Decision
5 (19%)

Combat Edge model read

Rongzhu60%
Renato Moicano 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Rongzhu a 60% favorite over Renato Moicano in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Renato Moicano's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1743 vs 1740), separated by just 3 points.

Rongzhu enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Renato Moicano finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Rongzhu 81%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.