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Combat Edge Intelligence

Renato Moicano vs Tommy Gantt

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

21-7-1Record13-0-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'11"
72″Reach76"
156 lbsWeight155 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Renato MoicanoNow 1743
If they win+12→ 1755
If they lose-12→ 1731
Tommy GanttNow 1743
If they win+16→ 1759
If they lose-16→ 1727

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1736 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1532 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.10
Sig. strikes / min
2.92
49%
Strike accuracy
76%
3.55
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
0.85
60%
Strike defense
44%
1.68
Takedown avg.
11.29
12%
Takedown accuracy
27%
64%
Takedown defense
100%
0.56
Submission avg.
1.41

Trajectory

Renato MoicanoTommy Gantt
1600170020252026

Win method breakdown

2 (10%)
KO/TKO
6 (46%)
11 (52%)
Submission
6 (46%)
8 (38%)
Decision
1 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Renato Moicano58%
Tommy Gantt 42%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Renato Moicano a 58% favorite over Tommy Gantt in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1743 vs 1743), separated by just 0 points.

Tommy Gantt enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Renato Moicano finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Tommy Gantt 92%.

Tommy Gantt carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.