Combat Edge Intelligence

Rinat Fakhretdinov vs Yaroslav Amosov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

24-1-1Record30-1-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'11"
74"Reach75"
171 lbsWeight170 lbs
American Top TeamTeamGermes Kyiv

What's at stake

Yaroslav Amosov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Rinat Fakhretdinov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Rinat FakhretdinovNow 1811
If they win+17→ 1828
If they lose-15→ 1796
Yaroslav AmosovNow 1830
If they win+15→ 1845
If they lose-17→ 1813

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1651 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1677 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.78
Sig. strikes / min
2.78
53%
Strike accuracy
47%
3.58
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.55
54%
Strike defense
55%
3.95
Takedown avg.
4.64
34%
Takedown accuracy
50%
92%
Takedown defense
0%
0.20
Submission avg.
4.64

Trajectory

Rinat FakhretdinovYaroslav Amosov
1750180018502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (50%)
KO/TKO
9 (30%)
6 (25%)
Submission
13 (43%)
6 (25%)
Decision
8 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Yaroslav Amosov64%
Rinat Fakhretdinov 36%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Yaroslav Amosov a 64% favorite over Rinat Fakhretdinov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Yaroslav Amosov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1830 to 1811, a 19-point edge.

Rinat Fakhretdinov enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Yaroslav Amosov enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Rinat Fakhretdinov finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Yaroslav Amosov 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.