Rodrigo Sezinando vs Theodor Berggren
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-2-0Record8-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
TBDHeight6'0"
71"Reach75"
185 lbsWeight167 lbs
Nova UniaoTeamRenyi
What's at stake
Rodrigo Sezinando is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Theodor Berggren carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1634
If they lose-18→ 1602
If they win+18→ 1605
If they lose-14→ 1573
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1512 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1533 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Rodrigo SezinandoTheodor Berggren
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Theodor Berggren61%
Rodrigo Sezinando 39%Elo baseline: 45%
The Combat Edge model makes Theodor Berggren a 61% favorite over Rodrigo Sezinando in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Rodrigo Sezinando's way (45%).
Rodrigo Sezinando holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1620 to 1587, a 33-point edge.
Rodrigo Sezinando finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Theodor Berggren 100%.
Rodrigo Sezinando and Theodor Berggren share 1 common opponent: Daniil Donchenko.
Theodor Berggren carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.