Rodrigo Vargas vs Rongzhu
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-6-0Record29-6-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'11"
71"Reach72"
160 lbsWeight156 lbs
Mexican Pride GymTeamEnbo Fight Club· 1686 avg Elo · 8 rated
What's at stake
Rongzhu is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Rodrigo Vargas carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1644
If they lose-10→ 1612
If they win+8→ 1762
If they lose-16→ 1738
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1593 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1624 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Rodrigo VargasRongzhu
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rongzhu89%
Rodrigo Vargas 11%Elo baseline: 68%
The Combat Edge model makes Rongzhu a 89% favorite over Rodrigo Vargas in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).
Rongzhu holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1754 to 1622, a 132-point edge.
Rodrigo Vargas enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Rongzhu enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Rodrigo Vargas finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Rongzhu 79%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.