Rodrigo Vargas vs Rongzhu
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-6-0Record27-6-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'11"
71"Reach72"
160 lbsWeight156 lbs
Mexican Pride GymTeamEnbo Fight Club
What's at stake
Rongzhu is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Rodrigo Vargas carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1646
If they lose-11→ 1614
If they win+8→ 1741
If they lose-16→ 1717
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1598 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1604 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Rodrigo VargasRongzhu
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rongzhu78%
Rodrigo Vargas 22%Elo baseline: 65%
The Combat Edge model makes Rongzhu a 78% favorite over Rodrigo Vargas in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).
Rongzhu holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1733 to 1625, a 108-point edge.
Rodrigo Vargas enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Rongzhu enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Rodrigo Vargas finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Rongzhu 81%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.