Roggers Souza vs Seyedmostafa Salehizadeh
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-10-0Record6-0-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"HeightTBD
79"Reach-
265 lbsWeight258 lbs
Alcateia MMA· 1551 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamTristar Gym
What's at stake
Seyedmostafa Salehizadeh is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +17 while a loss costs more — Roggers Souza carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1550
If they lose-11→ 1518
If they win+17→ 1647
If they lose-31→ 1599
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1560 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1484 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Roggers SouzaSeyedmostafa Salehizadeh
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Seyedmostafa Salehizadeh59%
Roggers Souza 41%Elo baseline: 64%
The Combat Edge model makes Seyedmostafa Salehizadeh a 59% favorite over Roggers Souza in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).
Seyedmostafa Salehizadeh holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1630 to 1529, a 101-point edge.
Roggers Souza enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Seyedmostafa Salehizadeh enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Roggers Souza finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Seyedmostafa Salehizadeh 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.