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Combat Edge Intelligence

Roman Paulus vs Tomáš Deák

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

11-7-0Record25-15-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'4"
-Reach65.7"
139 lbsWeight137 lbs
Spartakus Fight Gym· 1621 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamOctagon Fighting Academy· 1573 avg Elo · 8 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Roman PaulusNow 1587
If they win+16→ 1603
If they lose-16→ 1571
Tomáš DeákNow 1586
If they win+12→ 1598
If they lose-12→ 1574

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1553 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1590 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Trajectory

Roman PaulusTomáš Deák
15501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (9%)
KO/TKO
6 (24%)
3 (27%)
Submission
11 (44%)
7 (64%)
Decision
8 (32%)

Combat Edge model read

Tomáš Deák52%
Roman Paulus 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Tomáš Deák a 52% favorite over Roman Paulus in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Roman Paulus's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1587 vs 1586), separated by just 1 points.

Roman Paulus finishes 36% of wins inside the distance, Tomáš Deák 68%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.