Rose Namajunas vs Tecia Pennington
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-8-0Record15-8-0
FlyweightDivisionStrawweight
5'5"Height5'1"
65"Reach60″
125 lbsWeight115 lbs
303 Training CenterTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Rose Namajunas is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Tecia Pennington carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1709
If they lose-18→ 1677
If they win+18→ 1676
If they lose-14→ 1644
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1718 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1662 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Rose NamajunasTecia Pennington
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rose Namajunas70%
Tecia Pennington 30%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Rose Namajunas a 70% favorite over Tecia Pennington in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Rose Namajunas holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1695 to 1658, a 37-point edge.
Rose Namajunas finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Tecia Pennington 13%.
Rose Namajunas and Tecia Pennington share 2 common opponents: Carla Esparza and Weili Zhang.
Rose Namajunas carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.