Combat Edge Intelligence

Rose Namajunas vs Tracy Cortez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

14-8-0Record12-3-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'5"
65"Reach65"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
303 Training CenterTeamFight Ready

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Rose NamajunasNow 1695
If they win+16→ 1711
If they lose-16→ 1679
Tracy CortezNow 1685
If they win+16→ 1701
If they lose-16→ 1669

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1718 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1631 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.60
Sig. strikes / min
3.86
42%
Strike accuracy
49%
3.38
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.01
64%
Strike defense
57%
1.49
Takedown avg.
2.15
51%
Takedown accuracy
47%
63%
Takedown defense
59%
0.37
Submission avg.
0.32

Trajectory

Rose NamajunasTracy Cortez
1700202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (14%)
KO/TKO
1 (8%)
5 (36%)
Submission
1 (8%)
7 (50%)
Decision
10 (83%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Rose Namajunas and Tracy Cortez within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1695 vs 1685), separated by just 10 points.

Rose Namajunas finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Tracy Cortez 17%.

Rose Namajunas and Tracy Cortez share 1 common opponent: Erin Blanchfield.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossDecision (unanimous) · 2024
Erin Blanchfield
LossSubmission · 2025
WinDecision (Split) · 2019