Rose Namajunas vs Tracy Cortez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-8-0Record12-4-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'5"
65"Reach65"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
303 Training CenterTeamFight Ready
What's at stake
Rose Namajunas is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Tracy Cortez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1710
If they lose-17→ 1678
If they win+17→ 1686
If they lose-15→ 1654
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1718 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1644 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Rose NamajunasTracy Cortez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Rose Namajunas and Tracy Cortez within a point of even.
Rose Namajunas holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1695 to 1669, a 26-point edge.
Tracy Cortez enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Rose Namajunas finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Tracy Cortez 17%.
Rose Namajunas and Tracy Cortez share 1 common opponent: Erin Blanchfield.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.