Rose Namajunas vs Weili Zhang
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-8-0Record26-4-0
FlyweightDivisionStrawweight
5'5"Height5'4"
65"Reach63"
125 lbsWeight115 lbs
303 Training CenterTeamFight Ready
What's at stake
Weili Zhang is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Rose Namajunas carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1716
If they lose-11→ 1684
If they win+9→ 1808
If they lose-15→ 1784
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1718 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1718 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Rose NamajunasWeili Zhang
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Weili Zhang70%
Rose Namajunas 30%Elo baseline: 65%
The Combat Edge model makes Weili Zhang a 70% favorite over Rose Namajunas in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).
Weili Zhang holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1799 to 1695, a 104-point edge.
Rose Namajunas finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Weili Zhang 73%.
Rose Namajunas and Weili Zhang share 2 common opponents: Carla Esparza and Jéssica Andrade.
Rose Namajunas carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.