Shamil Boraev vs Timur Valiev
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Timur Valiev70%
Shamil Boraev 30%Elo baseline: 65%
The Combat Edge model makes Timur Valiev a 70% favorite over Shamil Boraev in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).
Timur Valiev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1713 to 1609, a 104-point edge.
Shamil Boraev finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Timur Valiev 40%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
7-2-0Record20-5-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'6"
-Reach67"
152 lbsWeight138 lbs
Fight Club Akhmat· 1678 avg Elo · 33 ratedTeamDagFighter· 1720 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
Timur Valiev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Shamil Boraev carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+31→ 1640
If they lose-17→ 1592
If they win+11→ 1724
If they lose-21→ 1692
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1538 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1588 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Shamil BoraevTimur Valiev