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Combat Edge Intelligence

Shamil Boraev vs Timur Valiev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Official bout pages

New comparison

This page compares both fighters across their careers. Event-specific previews, results, round stats, and bout facts live on the separate official Fight page for each meeting.

Tale of the tape

7-1-0Record19-5-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'6"
-Reach67"
152 lbsWeight138 lbs
Fight Club Akhmat· 1680 avg Elo · 29 ratedTeamDagFighter· 1713 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

Timur Valiev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Shamil Boraev carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Shamil BoraevNow 1631
If they win+29→ 1660
If they lose-19→ 1612
Timur ValievNow 1697
If they win+13→ 1710
If they lose-19→ 1678

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1515 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1590 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
5.19
Not available
Strike accuracy
53%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.33
Not available
Strike defense
45%
Not available
Takedown avg.
1.73
Not available
Takedown accuracy
27%
Not available
Takedown defense
56%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.29

Trajectory

Shamil BoraevTimur Valiev
1550160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (43%)
KO/TKO
5 (26%)
1 (14%)
Submission
2 (11%)
3 (43%)
Decision
12 (63%)

Combat Edge model read

Timur Valiev64%
Shamil Boraev 36%Elo baseline: 59%

The Combat Edge model makes Timur Valiev a 64% favorite over Shamil Boraev in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).

Timur Valiev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1697 to 1631, a 66-point edge.

Shamil Boraev enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Shamil Boraev finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Timur Valiev 37%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.