Shamil Boraev vs Timur Valiev

DateOct 4, 2026

DivisionFeatherweight

StatusScheduled

VenueColosseum

BroadcastACA TV

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Sunday, October 4, 2026 — watch on ACA TV.

US East (ET): Sun 8:00 AM
US West (PT): Sun 5:00 AM
United Kingdom: Sun 1:00 PM
Central Europe: Sun 2:00 PM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 11:00 PM
Your time

Shamil BoraevStorm |7-1-0Shamil Boraev vs Timur ValievTimur ValievLucky |19-5-0

Shamil BoraevStorm7-1-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

7-1-0Record19-5-0

23Age36

5'9"Height5'6"

-Reach67"

152 lbsWeight138 lbs

FeatherweightWeight ClassFeatherweight

Timur ValievLucky19-5-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Timur Valiev owns a 66-point Elo edge (good). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Shamil Boraev and Timur Valiev across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Shamil BoraevTimur Valiev

Recent form

Shamil BoraevW W W W L · +51 Elo last 5

WWWWL

Timur ValievL W L L W · -36 Elo last 5

LWLLW

Elo edge

Shamil Boraev1631+15 last move

Timur Valiev1697-20 last move

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.7-2026-08-28

51%Shamil Boraev49%Timur Valiev

Model favoriteShamil Boraev

Elo baseline38% for Shamil Boraev

Matchup adjustment+13 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Shamil BoraevStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model flips Elo

The full model flips the Elo-only lean: Shamil Boraev is 51%, after Elo alone favored Timur Valiev at 62%.

Current Elo ratings1631 · 1697Timur Valiev leads by 66 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1515 · 1590Timur Valiev faced the stronger recent schedule (8 vs 10 sampled fights).

Elo record depth8 · 22 fightsTimur Valiev has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

Stat advantages

Shamil BoraevvsTimur Valiev

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Shamil BoraevKO/TKO leads 43% of wins

Timur Valievdecision leads 63% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Shamil BoraevTimur Valiev

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per min5.19

UFC lightweight average : 3.82

Not availableSig. strike accuracy53

UFC lightweight average : 46%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per min3.33

UFC lightweight average : 3.91

Not availableSig. strike defense45

UFC lightweight average : 53%

Not availableTakedown average1.73

UFC lightweight average : 1.69

Not availableTakedown accuracy27

UFC lightweight average : 29%

Not availableTakedown defense56

UFC lightweight average : 59%

Not availableSubmission average0.29

UFC lightweight average : 0.50

3Wins by knockout5

1Wins by submission2

3Wins by decision12

0Losses by knockout0

1Losses by submission0

0Losses by decision5

Shamil Boraev vs Timur Valiev is a scheduled Featherweight fight on ACA 208 : SHAIKHAEV VS TUMENOV. Shamil Boraev enters with a 7-1-0 record and Timur Valiev enters with a 19-5-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.