Combat Edge Intelligence

Shuichi Kanda vs Tarcísio Romano

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-16-1Record12-8-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'7"
-Reach-
134 lbsWeight135 lbs
KTC MMATeamCerrado MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Shuichi KandaNow 1525
If they win+12→ 1537
If they lose-12→ 1513
Tarcísio RomanoNow 1518
If they win+16→ 1534
If they lose-16→ 1502

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1513 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
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Strike accuracy
TBD
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
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Strike defense
TBD
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Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
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Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Shuichi KandaTarcísio Romano
15001550202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (17%)
KO/TKO
7 (58%)
1 (6%)
Submission
2 (17%)
14 (78%)
Decision
3 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Tarcísio Romano71%
Shuichi Kanda 29%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Tarcísio Romano a 71% favorite over Shuichi Kanda in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Shuichi Kanda's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1525 vs 1518), separated by just 7 points.

Shuichi Kanda enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Shuichi Kanda finishes 22% of wins inside the distance, Tarcísio Romano 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.