Combat Edge Intelligence

Shuichi Kanda vs Tarcísio Romano

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-16-1Record12-8-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'7"
-Reach-
134 lbsWeight135 lbs
KTC MMATeamCerrado MMA· 1629 avg Elo · 8 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Shuichi KandaNow 1524
If they win+12→ 1536
If they lose-12→ 1512
Tarcísio RomanoNow 1523
If they win+16→ 1539
If they lose-16→ 1507

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1512 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1516 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Trajectory

Shuichi KandaTarcísio Romano
15001550202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (17%)
KO/TKO
7 (58%)
1 (6%)
Submission
2 (17%)
14 (78%)
Decision
3 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Tarcísio Romano56%
Shuichi Kanda 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Tarcísio Romano a 56% favorite over Shuichi Kanda in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Shuichi Kanda's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1524 vs 1523), separated by just 1 points.

Shuichi Kanda enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Shuichi Kanda finishes 22% of wins inside the distance, Tarcísio Romano 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.