Combat Edge Intelligence

Stephanie Luciano vs Talita Alencar

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-2-1Record8-1-1
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'6"Height5'1"
65" Reach58"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Gordin Fight TeamTeamTemple Martial Arts

What's at stake

Talita Alencar is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Stephanie Luciano carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Stephanie LucianoNow 1605
If they win+28→ 1633
If they lose-20→ 1585
Talita AlencarNow 1668
If they win+13→ 1681
If they lose-19→ 1649

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1544 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1550 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.36
Sig. strikes / min
2.91
42%
Strike accuracy
38%
3.38
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.36
61%
Strike defense
56%
0.67
Takedown avg.
3.02
67%
Takedown accuracy
27%
81%
Takedown defense
67%
0
Submission avg.
0.60

Trajectory

Stephanie LucianoTalita Alencar
1550160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (29%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
1 (14%)
Submission
4 (50%)
4 (57%)
Decision
4 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Talita Alencar62%
Stephanie Luciano 38%Elo baseline: 59%

The Combat Edge model makes Talita Alencar a 62% favorite over Stephanie Luciano in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).

Talita Alencar holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1668 to 1605, a 63-point edge.

Talita Alencar enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Stephanie Luciano finishes 43% of wins inside the distance, Talita Alencar 50%.

Stephanie Luciano carries a 7-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.