Stephanie Luciano vs Talita Alencar
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-2-1Record8-1-1
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'6"Height5'1"
65" Reach58"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
What's at stake
Talita Alencar is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Stephanie Luciano carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1653
If they lose-14→ 1621
If they win+14→ 1682
If they lose-18→ 1650
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1551 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1550 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Stephanie LucianoTalita Alencar
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Stephanie Luciano and Talita Alencar within a point of even.
Talita Alencar holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1668 to 1635, a 33-point edge.
Stephanie Luciano enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Talita Alencar enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Stephanie Luciano finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Talita Alencar 50%.
Stephanie Luciano carries a 7-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.