Steve Erceg vs Sumudaerji
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-5-0Record20-7-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'8"Height5'8"
68"Reach72"
125 lbsWeight135 lbs
Wilkes Martial ArtsTeamEnbo Fight Club· 1687 avg Elo · 8 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1704
If they lose-16→ 1672
If they win+12→ 1701
If they lose-12→ 1677
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1676 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1645 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Steve ErcegSumudaerji
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Steve Erceg55%
Sumudaerji 45%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Steve Erceg a 55% favorite over Sumudaerji in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Sumudaerji's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1688 vs 1689), separated by just 1 points.
Sumudaerji enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Steve Erceg finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Sumudaerji 70%.
Steve Erceg and Sumudaerji share 2 common opponents: Tim Elliott and Matt Schnell.
Sumudaerji carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.