Sumudaerji vs Umalat Israpilov
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Sumudaerji64%
Umalat Israpilov 36%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Sumudaerji a 64% favorite over Umalat Israpilov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1688 vs 1688), separated by just 0 points.
Sumudaerji enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Umalat Israpilov enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Sumudaerji finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Umalat Israpilov 47%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
20-7-0Record19-3-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'8"Height5'8"
72"Reach-
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
Enbo Fight Club· 1687 avg Elo · 8 ratedTeam
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1700
If they lose-12→ 1676
If they win+16→ 1704
If they lose-16→ 1672
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1645 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1550 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
SumudaerjiUmalat Israpilov