Tatiana Suarez vs Xiaonan Yan
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-1-0Record19-5-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'5"Height5'5"
66"Reach63"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Millennia MMATeamTeam Alpha Male· 1645 avg Elo · 21 rated
What's at stake
Tatiana Suarez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Xiaonan Yan carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1775
If they lose-17→ 1743
If they win+17→ 1751
If they lose-15→ 1719
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1652 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1698 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Tatiana SuarezXiaonan Yan
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tatiana Suarez71%
Xiaonan Yan 29%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Tatiana Suarez a 71% favorite over Xiaonan Yan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Tatiana Suarez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1760 to 1734, a 26-point edge.
Tatiana Suarez enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Tatiana Suarez finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Xiaonan Yan 47%.
Tatiana Suarez and Xiaonan Yan share 3 common opponents: Weili Zhang, Jéssica Andrade and Carla Esparza.
Tatiana Suarez carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.