Tommy Gantt vs Trey Ogden
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-0-0Record18-7-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'11"
76"Reach72"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Jaw Breaker BoxingTeamMarathon MMA· 1669 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
Tommy Gantt is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Trey Ogden carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1736
If they lose-19→ 1704
If they win+19→ 1685
If they lose-13→ 1653
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1507 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1618 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Tommy GanttTrey Ogden
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tommy Gantt83%
Trey Ogden 17%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Tommy Gantt a 83% favorite over Trey Ogden in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Tommy Gantt holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1723 to 1666, a 57-point edge.
Tommy Gantt enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Tommy Gantt finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Trey Ogden 61%.
Tommy Gantt and Trey Ogden share 1 common opponent: Cody Carrillo.
Tommy Gantt carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Common opponents (1)
WinSubmission (Guillotine Choke) · 2024
WinSubmission (Rear Naked Choke) · 2020